Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.186686 1.341023 1.509665 1.707913 1.934957 2.187289 2.489575
2025-12-21 0.926590 1.123974 1.356883 1.653110 2.021445 2.466425 3.047832
2025-12-28 0.806098 1.036420 1.326017 1.719452 2.243980 2.924707 3.883994
2026-01-04 0.712170 0.961323 1.291776 1.766594 2.438671 3.366837 4.764707
2026-01-11 0.637829 0.897751 1.258746 1.803407 2.616010 3.801926 5.697793
2026-01-18 0.574878 0.839325 1.221791 1.824365 2.766653 4.211937 6.651360
2026-01-25 0.511191 0.770530 1.159128 1.795142 2.832068 4.494754 7.441926
2026-02-01 0.447318 0.693237 1.073300 1.716530 2.804612 4.619726 7.981630
2026-02-08 0.400300 0.636620 1.012548 1.669111 2.819118 4.811033 8.658997
2026-02-15 0.362386 0.590353 0.962899 1.633035 2.846013 5.023276 9.401872
2026-02-22 0.345699 0.577223 0.966202 1.687546 3.038521 5.555517 10.836069
2026-03-01 0.325580 0.556012 0.953101 1.710444 3.174342 5.997976 12.161573
2026-03-08 0.298591 0.521304 0.914776 1.686308 3.225112 6.297759 13.277708
2026-03-15 0.271012 0.482995 0.866340 1.637833 3.222751 6.493138 14.210668
2026-03-22 0.261685 0.477187 0.877167 1.705994 3.466440 7.236843 16.529816
2026-03-29 0.250522 0.466735 0.877946 1.753828 3.673947 7.934891 18.884691
2026-04-05 0.239064 0.454516 0.873870 1.790829 3.862740 8.620319 21.351464
2026-04-12 0.226920 0.439718 0.863022 1.811835 4.018182 9.252359 23.814437
2026-04-19 0.211006 0.415820 0.831173 1.782918 4.053607 9.600456 25.584540
2026-04-26 0.192118 0.384138 0.780095 1.704924 3.961286 9.616181 26.423660
2026-05-03 0.177714 0.360617 0.744224 1.657870 3.938569 9.807025 27.816115
2026-05-10 0.165533 0.340795 0.714558 1.622065 3.939374 10.060247 29.454212
2026-05-17 0.161407 0.338006 0.722097 1.676179 4.178899 10.999372 33.455666